Today I wanna tell you about a hand one of my students played last week.
It’s the kind of spot that lights me up inside as a coach.
And since I have my students narrate their videos in real-time, you’re gonna get a behind-the-scenes look at his exact thought-process as the hand played out.
Jon opened to $5 from UTG with Ad2d.
The BTN (A fish sitting on a stack of $101.18) called and both blinds folded.
The flop was K♣ T♠ 4♥.
Jon cbet ⅓ of the pot ($4.12) and his opponent called.
The turn was the 5♥.
JON’S TURN NARRATION
“I’m not sure if this is one of the cards I should be continuing on. Didn’t have a great continuation plan besides betting this flop and hoping the button folds. I think that being said I feel like this is one of the cards I should be betting.
I can give up on other ones like non-wheel cards.”
Jon then bet $13.45 into $20.18 and his opponent called very quickly.
The river was the T♦ and the final scenario looked like:
K♣ T♠ 4♥ 5♥ T♦
Villain’s stack size: $78.61
Jon has ace high, a busted wheel draw.
JON’S RIVER NARRATION
“I don’t ever think this guy’s folding a king, not even if I rip it. I guess I could fold out AJ or AQ if he has those but I think I’m just going to check and hope he checks back.”
Jon checks, villain bets $22.87 (exactly ½ pot), and Jon’s final thought:
“And I’m gonna be folding to the river bet.”
If Jon were to study this hand by himself, what do you think that’d look like?
Here’s your coach’s educated guess: He’d start off by asking himself some questions:
- Should I be cbetting this flop with my exact hand? If so, what is the most appropriate sizing?
- What do I think villain’s flop calling range vs. this sizing looks like?
- Am I incentivized to continue betting on this specific turn against villain’s range?
- Should I be bluffing the river?
Then he’d simply do his best to find some answers.
Most likely Jon would fire up PIO and run some sims vs. a fish profile.
He’d spend 20 or 30 minutes trying to answer his internal questions, gain some clarity on the spot, and then move on to the next hand.
But there’s a MASSIVE problem here…
Jon didn’t even notice his most egregious mistake: Folding to the river bet.
(I’m not gonna let you off the hook by telling you why so you’ll need to reflect and draw your own conclusions. If you have a good theory, feel free to hit the reply button and I’ll let you know how close you are.)
Here’s the deal:
When you have no awareness you’re making mistakes, how on earth do you fix them?
The hard truth is you just don’t. You’ll keep on making them until the exact moment you gain awareness there’s a problem.
This is a BIG hindrance to your development as a poker player.
So if you’d like a guide who will help you gain awareness of your mistakes so that you can fix them once and for all, here’s a link to book a free 30 minute consult for 1-1 coaching.
Talk to tomorrow,
P.S. 1-1 coaching has been sold out for the last month and space is very limited in October as well. This will likely be your only chance to sign up for 1-1 coaching for the next month, so don’t dilly dally if you’re on the fence.